Daily Doses

newspill provides everyday its users on Facebook Messenger with a daily dose of Financial Earthquakes.
#Learn #Play #Earn

newspill is currently in Beta-testing on Facebook Messenger.
You will find here the history of our "daily doses" ๐Ÿ’Š

๐Ÿ’Š Disney - 24-Jan

Shanghai Disney Resort will be closed until further notice to help stop the spread of coronavirus ๐Ÿ˜ท

No Mickey parade this weekend then - what's the big deal?
Well, China is on a 7-day Lunar New Year holiday, a period when the park would be usually packed with tourists and generate hefty revenue for the group ๐Ÿค‘

Disney had an amazing year with a rise of +30% of its market value thanks to several $1Billion box-office revenue movies and the launch of its own streaming platform.
The estimated financial impact was not immediately clear, but Disney said it would refund park & hotel tickets...

Will investors panic or hold still? ๐Ÿ˜ณ

๐Ÿ’Š Alibaba - 23-Jan

A new deadly pneumonia-like virus first reported in China has killed 17 people and infected nearly 600 others ๐Ÿ˜ท

Two cities in China (~11 Million people) are on total lockdown ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ”’
Major public events for the Chinese New Year just got canceled and the city government of Wuhan said it will shut down all urban transport networks and suspend outgoing flights.

The economic consequences of a pandemic in China could be terrible.
Alibaba, the Chinese Amazon, has lost around 4% of its value this week mostly because of the market anxiety ๐Ÿ˜ฑ
If the virus is contained, Alibaba should recover quickly. If not, it could plummet.

๐Ÿ’Š American Airlines - 22-Jan

Tomorrow morning, American Airlines (AAL) will publish its Earnings for Q4 2019 ๐Ÿ’ธ

It's a fascinating case study since AAL is under the radar for multiple reasons:
โœˆ๏ธ Numerous flight cancellations resulted from the grounding of Boeingโ€™s 737 Max jet
๐Ÿ˜ท The spread of the coronavirus could put a stop to tourism - AAL lost 4% yesterday after the first US case of the virus was diagnosed
๐Ÿ‘‘ AAL is lagging behind the competition with a very bad stock performance last year (-19%)

Overall expectations are low, but the stock could rebound in case of a good surprise or be badly punished in case the results are worse than forecast...

๐Ÿ’Š Uber - 21-Jan

Uber Eats gives up in India and sells its activity to local rival Zomato โœŒ๏ธ
The deal is an "all-stock transaction" where Uber gets a 9.99% stake in Zomato in exchange for disappearing from the market and therefore giving more chances to the Indian startup to beat the competition โ˜˜๏ธ

Uber's CEO declared that "India remains an exceptionally important market to Uber" and that the focus will be put on the ride-hailing service, the leader on the market ๐Ÿ‘‘

Giving up could be seen as a smart move in this ultra-competitive market but it could also show weakness from Uber whose food delivery activity is also slowing down in the US...

๐Ÿ’Š Amazon - 16-Jan

Amazon will invest $1 billion in India to bring small businesses online in the country ๐ŸŽ

But this move is no charity act.
India's trade minister says that "itโ€™s not as if they are doing a great favor to India when they invest a billion dollars." ๐Ÿ˜ 

Amazon is facing mounting criticism from Indiaโ€™s brick-and-mortar retailers, which accuse the U.S. giant of violating Indian law by racking up billions of dollars of losses to fund deep discounts and discriminating against small sellers ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

The Market could punish an escalating relationship with India's government or celebrate a smart move from Amazon to dispel criticism...

๐Ÿ’Š Pinterest - 15-Jan

Pinterest took back its position as third-biggest Social Network in the US in front of Snapchat and behind Facebook & Instagram ๐Ÿ†

Shares of Pinterest surged 9.6% yesterday after a report said the company had 82.4 million users last year in the US, compared to Snapchatโ€™s 80.2 million ๐Ÿ”ฅ
"While Snapchat has a young core audience that it caters to, Pinterest has a more universal appeal, and it's made significant gains in a wide range of age groups."

It is obviously good news for Pinterest but one could say that the market is over-reacting and the price surge could backlash.
What do you think? ๐Ÿค”

๐Ÿ’Š Visa - 14-Jan

Visa just acquired Plaid in a deal worth $5.3 billion โ€” roughly double the start-upโ€™s last private valuation ๐Ÿค‘

You might have never heard about it but Plaid is often referred to as the โ€œplumbingโ€ behind fintech companies, letting start-ups connect to usersโ€™ bank accounts and retrieve their financial data โš™๏ธ

Visa said the deal has the potential to add as much as 1% to the companyโ€™s net revenue growth by 2021. On the other hand, some investors might say that this was a very expensive deal.

The whole Tech ecosystem is going crazy, celebrating the move from Visa but also the success of Plaid. Will the market see it the same way? ๐Ÿค”

๐Ÿ’Š JP Morgan - 13-Jan

This week on the Market is Earnings Week for big Banks ๐Ÿ’ธ

Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are reporting their 4th Quarter 2019 earnings - an interesting game of expectations where the "consensus" of the market already made up its mind on a certain level of earnings expected and will celebrate ๐Ÿฅณ or punish ๐Ÿ˜  in case the actual earnings are higher or lower than expected.

Tomorrow morning starts with JP Morgan which has been on a slightly declining trend in 2019, losing 3.9% of its value. However, last quarter earnings were higher than expected which was "celebrated" by the investors (+3.1%)

๐Ÿ’Š Walmart - 09-Jan

Walmart developed a new technology that could help defend its position as Americaโ€™s largest grocer ๐Ÿ›’

What is it? A fully automatized logistics platform that will enable to pick, pack and deliver shoppersโ€™ online grocery orders faster (basically robots shopping groceries for you ๐Ÿค–)

Ordering groceries online has still not taken-off and it represents only 3% of total spendings on groceries in the US. But it's never too early to prepare for the fierce competition against actors like Amazon or Costco - Walmart launched earlier in 2019 a subscription of $20/month to get groceries delivered directly to your fridge ๐Ÿคฏ

Money well spent?

๐Ÿ’Š Boeing - 08-Jan

Yesterday, a Boeing plane run by an Ukranian airline crashed minutes after take-off from Tehran. There were no survivors ๐Ÿ˜ณ
Before jumping to conclusions:
* It is NOT a 737Max (the one involved in 2 fatal crashes this year)
* It is due to technical problems according to State Media in Iran

Boeing has already lost 20% of its capitalization since its highest point of 2019.
Was this accident the last drop? ๐Ÿ“‰
Simultaneously, some rumors say that Warren Buffet has a strong interest in buying Boeing shares because, after all, it's an industrial champion that had very bad publicity recently but that will overperform in the long term โœˆ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’Š Tesla - 07-Jan

Tesla is one of the most divisive stocks of 2019, probably because of the explosive personality of its CEO Elon Musk, who made yesterday some announcements in Shangaรฏ meanwhile dancing... in a very divisive way ๐Ÿ˜‚

Musk announced that the Shangaรฏ Tesla Gigafactory is ready to deliver vehicles to its Chinese customers ๐Ÿš˜
Construction of Teslaโ€™s first plant outside the United States began only in January 2019. Musk also announced that he will open a design and engineering center in China soon.

Good news but... Tesla has skyrocketed in 2019, especially in December with a +35% increase. At such high levels, can it still go up? ๐Ÿค”

๐Ÿ’Š S&P 500 - 20-Dec

The S&P500 (an index that measures the stock performance of the 500 largest companies listed in the US) is up more than 27% this year, 4% close to the record of 1997 ๐Ÿ’ฅ

We call it a "bullish market" where the market is pushing every obstacle like a bull ๐Ÿ‚
Obstacles? There were a few this year: Trump's impeachment, China-US trade war, inverse yield curve, etc.
Some analysts pointed out that this rally was irrational with risks of recession looming
- yet it seems to hold strong ๐Ÿ’ช

So let's make a Christmas Holiday bet on this end-of-year market rally to historical records - or not? ๐Ÿค”
Put some heavy leverage and hold onto it!

๐Ÿ’Š Seattle Genetics - 20-Dec

Seattle Genetics is a biotech firm developing innovative treatments for cancer.

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) just announced that it approved Seattle Geneticsโ€™ experimental drug to treat advanced bladder cancer, about three months ahead of schedule ๐Ÿ’ช

An (early) FDA approval is a big deal for the company as it represents a go/no-go for the commercialization of a drug that requires years of R&D efforts and expenses ๐Ÿ’ธ

The stock is up +4% before opening. The tricky aspect is that still a lot of clinical trials are necessary before full commercialization โŒ›

Will investors keep celebrating the good news at the opening?

๐Ÿ’Š Micron - 18-Dec

Semiconductors are a complex piece of technology that you will find in EVERY electronic device. Imagine it as a fundamental ingredient to allow transistors and LEDs to work โš™๏ธ

Micron Technology is one of the leaders in the industry of semiconductors manufacturing. They will tonight announce their result for Q4 and the setup is interesting:
* Several Wall Street Analysts improved the ratings of Micron ahead of the announcement, sending the stock +6% in a few days ๐Ÿ“ˆ
* Yet, the market expects earnings 6 times lower than last year at the same period ๐Ÿ˜ 

Tough call, right?
Hold your trade until tomorrow to see if you were right...

๐Ÿ’Š Meet Group - 17-Dec

Meet Group is a chat and dating app-maker (MeetMe, Lovoo, etc.). Yesterday, a rumor came out that ProSieben, a German broadcaster who owns the competitor dating website eHarmony, was looking into acquiring Meet ๐Ÿ’•

Both parties said the talks were "confidential". But it's hard for something that isn't happening to be confidential...which seems to suggest that something is happening ๐Ÿง

Yesterday, the rumor made the stock jump +20% until going back to +5% amid fears that the deal would not be closed. Uncertainty remains at this point but it might be still time to "buy the rumor and sell the news" ๐Ÿค‘
Meet is losing 0.5% pre-market.

๐Ÿ’Š Bill.com - 13-Dec

An IPO (Initial Public Offering) is when a company gets listed on the stock market for the first time ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Yesterday was the IPO of Bill.com, a Fintech company that commercializes an AI software to create, pay and receive bills.
Quartz described it as a "refreshingly boring IPO with no scandals, no exaggerated market sizes, no made-up metrics and no founder control" - in other words, a well-managed business that stands out in the era of Uber and WeWork ๐Ÿฆ„

Yesterday was a blast with a +61% rise of the stock ๐Ÿ’ฅ
Did you miss it? Newspill is here for you...

Will the rise continue or is it time for Bill to come back to earth?

๐Ÿ’Š Boeing - 11-Dec

As you might now, Boeing โœˆ๏ธ had some bad publicity recently with 2 catastrophic crashes of its 737 killing more than 300 people in less than 5 months, mostly because of the negligence of pilot training and defective hardware.

In a few moments, the Federal Aviation Agency (FAA) is holding a House hearing on the review of the grounded aircraft. Edward Pierson, a former Boeing employee, will testify.
Why does that matter? Because Pierson recently declared that he warned Boeing's Management team of production problems at the factory that makes the 737 Max - before the accidents ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

Boeing is losing 0.5% before the opening bell.

๐Ÿ’Š Disney - 09-Dec

Disney is back in the headlines after dominating the box office with "Frozen 2" for the 3rd weekend in a row, expecting to reach $1Billion of revenue and join the exclusive 1Billion club of "Avengers: End Game", "The Lion King", "Captain Marvel", etc. ๐ŸŽฅ

Many of the companyโ€™s titles this year were hotly anticipated origin stories, sequels and finales - reaching a total of $10 Billion in ticket sales. However, replicating this success next year won't be easy.

But 2019 is not over yet: โ€œStar Wars: The Rise of Skywalkerโ€ arrives in theaters Dec. 20 and could push Disney to new records ๐ŸŒŸ

Disney is up 30% this year.

๐Ÿ’Š Google - 04-Dec

The two original founders of Google are stepping down as President and CEO of Alphabet (Google Holding company) ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿ‘‹

Larry Page & Sergei Brin declared: โ€œToday, in 2019, if the company was a person, it would be a young adult of 21 and it would be time to leave the roostโ€.

Now all the pressure is on the shoulders of Sundar Pichai who has been the co-CEO of Alphabet for 4 years now. What could sound like bad news could actually be an opportunity for Alphabet to simplify its management team who had an unusual structure - Sergei as President and Larry as co-CEO with Sundar ๐Ÿคฏ

Google is up +0.9% before the imminent market opening...

๐Ÿ’Š Dow Jones - 03-Dec

The China-US trade war that has been ongoing since last year is bringing a lot of anxiety on the market ๐Ÿฅต

President Donald Trump just declared that he may want to delay a trade deal with China until after the 2020 presidential election.

This move might be perceived in 2 very different ways by the market:
1. He is just applying another negotiation technic ๐Ÿค
2. He has the intention to make the trade-war a kind of semi-permanent conflict over next year ๐Ÿ“‰

The Dow Jones is up 19% this year, breaking records high on a regular basis despite of the trade war. This last month of December will reveal if 2019 was a "grand cru" ๐Ÿฅ‚

๐Ÿ’Š General Electric - 02-Dec

General Electric stock lost 60% of its value over the past 3 years under allegations of accounting manipulations - bringing a prominent figure to describe GE as a "bigger fraud than Enron" ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

These allegations seem to have been properly denied so far and GE is holding well with +10% in November. GE is a big industrial conglomerate and investors recently focused their attention on the Healthcare business (Biotechnology, MRI imagery, etc.) that yields 38% of GE's operating profit.

The healthcare division is holding an investor meeting right now and the outcome could shake the stock either way ๐ŸŒช๏ธ(+1.7% at the opening, so far...)

๐Ÿ’Š Amazon - 29-Nov

It is Thanksgiving weekend in the US, a time to gather with the ones you love, but also to SHOP ๐ŸŽ

Today is Black Friday, the kick-off of a weekend marathon climaxing on Cyber Monday. An early analysis by Adobe shows a 20% increase in online shopping so far, which could highly benefit the online king of retail, Amazon ๐Ÿ‘‘

Competition is fierce since Walmart, Target, Costco, and Best Buy have bulked up their online presence, deliveries, and fast in-store pickups to attract customers.
Will Amazon win this year's shopping competition and push further its +21% rise over the year? ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Hold your position until next Tuesday.

๐Ÿ’Š Apple - 27-Nov

Did you start Christmas shopping already?
Apparently a lot of people wrote "Apple Airpods Pro" on their wishlist to Santa๐ŸŽ„

A supplier in China declared being asked by Apple to double its production until Christmas. More production could mean more orders, so more profit ๐Ÿ’ธ
On the other hand, the official online shop of Apple is already stating delivery time after the 25th of December, a sign of a shortage of supply that might piss off some customers?

Apple opens at +0.3% today and is up 30% since last September!

๐Ÿ’Š Uber - 25-Nov

Fun-Fact: Alcohol consumption in large cities increased significantly since the arrival of Uber, as people allow themselves to binge-drink more often than if they had to drive home ๐Ÿš–

Uber's CEO must have woken up today with quite a hangover since London stripped Uber's license to operate in the city mentioning a โ€œpattern of failuresโ€ that โ€œplaced passenger safety and security at riskโ€ ๐Ÿ˜ฎ
Uber has 21 days to appeal the decision...

London is the biggest European market for Uber and a big driver for revenue, not mentioning the growing competition from Kapten, Bolt, etc.
Uber loses 4% in the pre-market. Will it go down further? ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ’Š Tesla - 22-Nov

Let's finish the week with an embarrassing moment ๐Ÿ˜ณ

Elon Musk just unveiled Tesla's latest innovation: the CyberTruck. It is basically an insanely futuristic electric pick-up truck supposed to be bullet-proof.
When Musk asked his Chief Designer to prove the robustness of the glass by throwing a metal ball on the window, things did not go as expected ๐Ÿ’ฅ

Analysts were amused but also left with a lot of questions on the capacity of the truck to handle heavy loads and working conditions... Meanwhile, the Internet is busy making fun of the truck's design & resistance.

Tesla shares are down 3%. Overreaction or justified punishment?

๐Ÿ’Š TD Ameritrade - 21-Nov

Exciting rumor today in the Trading industry: Charles Schwab might acquire TD Ameritrade ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Who are these guys? ๐Ÿค”
These 2 companies are "Brokers", kind of a middle-man between you and the stock market. What is important to know is that the industry is undergoing a deep change in their business model since Robinhood "disrupted" trading apps by removing commissions on trades (followed by Revolut and more recently by Schwab and Ameritrade).
Therefore, consolidation is key to face competition and this merger could create a new Goliath ๐Ÿ’ช

TD Ameritrade is already up 25% today! And yet, it's still just a rumor... Do you trust rumors?

๐Ÿ’Š GOOGLE - 15-Nov

Google knows A LOT about you ๐Ÿง
In September a big investigation was launched in the US on Google, looking for unfair competitive behavior (aka antitrust violation).

The committee announced yesterday that they would extend the probe beyond Google ADs, to Google Search ๐Ÿ”and Android ๐Ÿ“ฑ

Investigating Google is complex since most of its products are free, and antitrust violations are usually shown in price manipulation. Besides, Google is almost too big to be "harmed" by the government.
However, a thorough investigation might reveal some dirty behaviors that could affect investors' confidence โš–๏ธ

Google is up 1% today so far.

๐Ÿ’Š Nvidia - 14-Nov

Last week we suggested you to forecast the "Earnings" of Match Group (Tinder). The outcome was a blast: -17% because of poor projections for the end of the year ๐Ÿ“‰

Tonight is the turn of NVIDIA, the leading supplier of Graphic Processing Units (GPU). GPU is a scary word to basically describe the brainpower of a computer rendering beautiful graphics for Video Games, VR, 3D, etc. ๐ŸŽฎ

Expectations are high since the stock rallied 30% in the last 3 months, but investors are hopeful as the Video Games market is booming.
Nvidia is trading -0.8% today.

What's your guess? Do not put too much leverage, it could move a lot ๐ŸŽข

๐Ÿ’Š Amazon - 13-Nov

Nike will soon stop selling its products on Amazon ๐Ÿ‘Ÿ

The famous sneakers brand wants to focus on its own online retail experience through its website and App. Concerns around counterfeits products might also push big brands like Nike to take back control over their online distribution canals.

Will other brands follow the move? ๐Ÿ”ฅ
Amazon has been trying to make a name in the Fashion industry for a while by launching its own brand backed by influencers and seducing other big brands like Calvin Klein...
Amazon is opening today slightly negative at -0.3%

๐Ÿ’Š Walt Disney - 12-Nov

AmazonPrime, Netflix, AppleTV... ๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ
The video streaming market is already quite crowded as everyone wants a piece of the juicy subscription model... And now, there is a new kid on the block.

Today is the launch of Disney+, a content platform for $7/Month that will grab the last remaining pieces of attention of your kids. With an arsenal of Franchises including Marvel & StarWars and a partnership with Amazon Fire TV - the market was so far very enthusiastic about the launch ๐Ÿ“ˆ

But now is the crucial moment and the next few days will say whether there is some room for Disney&Chill in our lives ๐Ÿญ
Disney is up +1% before the bell.

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